B.C.’s new model for predicting runoff into Okanagan Lake has a very different forecast for 2023
Shaun Reimer, the provincial employee who is in charge of managing the lake level, said in early February, he is putting more emphasis on the newer forecast model that is predicting a larger volume of runoff.
The province has been letting more water out of the lake to compensate for the expected larger-than-normal runoff. Reimer said the outflow was “more than doubled” last week and will be increased again this week.Story continues below advertisement Reimer said the province is emphasizing the larger inflow prediction to “be more conservative in our approach.”
“But it should still allow us to potentially change our approach as we get our March forecast or our April forecast as well,” Reimer, the section head for public safety and protection with the Ministry of Forests, said.Meaning, if the higher-than-normal local snowpack dips later in the season there is still time to pull back the water release and allow for more water to build up in the lake.
“That is the approach that we take now. It doesn’t always work perfectly if we get more extreme conditions,” said Reimer.noted officials were initially expecting runoff into the lake at or below normal but then intense spring precipitation caught them off guard, leaving the province without the capacity to draw down the lake fast enough to prevent flooding.
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