Assessing Maple Leafs forward Mitch Marner's market value - Sportsnet.ca

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Assessing Maple Leafs forward Mitch Marner's market value - Sportsnet.ca
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Marner’s spectacular season has come at the perfect time for him and his agent, with an impending contract battle with the Leafs looming this summer. (AndrewBerkshire)

This season Marner has the eighth-highest 5-vs-5 PDO in the NHL among players with 500 or more minutes played, fourth highest among forwards, and most of the reason for that is a sky high 12.05 per cent on-ice shooting percentage, which is the second highest number in the NHL for forwards behind only Alex Ovechkin.

Comparing Marner to his contemporaries on the wing, you get names like Nikita Kucherov, David Pastrnak, Johnny Gaudreau, and Mark Stone. So how does Marner compare to those players in terms of the underlying plays that create goals at even strength?Overall, Marner compares pretty well to this group, he creates more chances for his teammates than Pastrnak, who is more of a finisher on the NHL’s best line, is about equal to Stone, but trails Kucherov and Gaudreau.

It’s important to note that Marner is younger than all these other wingers who recently signed long-term deals, and it’s entirely fair to expect him to take further steps in his development at just 21-years-old, especially considering the vast improvements he’s made to his game on the defensive side in the last calendar year, however when looking at potential contracts, you also have to consider that all these players, save Pastrnak, had fewer restricted free agent years left when they signed,...

The Auston Matthews contract certainly changes the landscape for players coming off of entry level deals, and I get why many fans believe Marner is the superior player even if it’s clearly not the case. Let’s put this in context a little bit though.

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