The Russian invasion of Ukraine has a telling precedent which took place less than a decade earlier. 📧 Read Patrick Cockburn's latest newsletter
A state possessing great oil wealth may be stable and look powerful, but there are certain things its leader should avoid. The most important of these is that he should never go to war. People may be happy to profit from “a looting machine” but they are not prepared to die for it. Russia and Saudi Arabia have politically passive populations, but it is unwise to put too much strain on their loyalty; far better to outsource the bloodier business of war – and the inevitable casualties.
Boris Johnson is objecting to the Framework, but this scarcely strengthens the DUP position. They already have grim experience of Johnson’s broken pledges over the Irish Sea border. More seriously, past allies of the DUP on the right of the Tory party show no sign of going in to bat for them. Now it turns out that a cause close to heart of the Tory party all along – though there has been little sign of it since they took office in 2010 – was the GFA and the restoration of the Stormont Executive with the DUP inside a power sharing executive.
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