The Institute for Race Relations has published a new election poll, and it’s not good news for the two leading parties
With a week to go to elections, the SA Institute for Race Relations has published a new election poll that shows both the ANC and the DA in serious trouble.
The ANC is also in trouble in Gauteng and stands on 42.8% on the provincial ballot. Modeled on a turnout of 70.4%, ANC party support decreases to 39%. In this scenario, the DA also scores 39% of the Gauteng vote, and in an even lower turnout scenario the DA comes in stronger than the ANC at 40% compared to the ANC’s 39%.
In the Western Cape the DA is in trouble and stands on 44.6% on the provincial ballot down 5.5 percentage points from its February showing. The ACDP appears to be the biggest reason for this decline and polled 7% on the provincial ballot, twice as much as much as it scored in February. Together with Patricia de Lille’s Good party, which has 3% support, the DA has lost 10 percentage points to smaller parties in the province. However, on a turnout scenario of 71.9%, the DA’s support rises to 50%.
The IRR’s head of politics and governance Gareth van Onselen said the results must be treated with caution because of “the squeeze” phenomenon that tends to play out in the two weeks before voting.
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