Analysis: The lazy person’s guide to picking a men’s NCAA tournament bracket
, when the tournament expanded to 68 teams. No. 11 seeds, on the other hand, have gone 46-44 over that span, a huge contrast to their more sought-after bracket-busting brethren. In fact, No. 11 seeds actually have better records over the past 11 iterations than single-digit seeds such as No. 5s, No. 6s, No. 8s and No. 9s.No. 11 Providence — which faces No. 6 Kentucky in the first round — appears to be the best choice among this seed group.
is on par with that of two No. 7 seeds, Northwestern and Missouri, and they have the 16th most efficient offense in the country.The First Four play-in participants — the four lowest-seeded automatic qualifiers and four at-large teams — need to play their way into the field of 64 with games on either Tuesday or Wednesday. And yet in nine of the past 11 tournaments, at least one First Four team has survived until the second round . Four First Four teams have managed to make it to the Sweet 16.
As mentioned, two No. 10 seeds look strong this season, No. 10 Boise State and No. 10 Utah State. Boise State doesn’t allow many second-chance opportunities and Utah State has one of the most efficient offenses in the country, which also shines on the offensive glass. Those are historically good indicators for March success.
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