Analysis | How to bet the NCAA tournament title game: No time to fade Connecticut

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Analysis | How to bet the NCAA tournament title game: No time to fade Connecticut
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Analysis: A look at the matchup between Connecticut and San Diego State, who square off tonight in the NCAA men’s basketball championship game

yet came back to win both, and now they have to play the nation’s most complete team. The spread makes sense.The Huskies have been getting it done in this tournament by winning the two-point game and dominating the boards.61-43% and 31-22 vs. St. Mary'sClassic "defense and rebounds" approach.There’s reason to think this trend will continue against San Diego State, which is much stronger at defending three-point shots than it is against two-pointers.

The Aztecs’ offense also ranks just 246th nationally in two-point shooting percentage, and U-Conn. ranks 11th at defending those shots.The one area in which San Diego State can keep things close is at the free throw line, because the Huskies send their opponents to the line at a high rate while also not getting to the line much themselves on offense. But the Aztecs made only 13 of 22 free throws in Saturday’s win over FAU, and that won’t cut it Monday night.

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