ANALYSIS: ANC’s election candidates list: Ground Zero in the fight for the future of SA’s ruling party By Stephen Grootes StephenGrootes
There now appears to be clear evidence that the process of deciding who will represent the ANC in Parliament and elsewhere has caused serious divisions in the party.
The ANC’s ultimate victory in the national election does not appear to be in doubt, but recent polling indicates that its. This fight is really about the balance of power in the party – if the list of candidates is supportive of President Cyril Ramaphosa, he will be able to continue with his clean-up campaign, if it goes against him, he will find himself constrained both by the ANC’s caucus in the National Assembly and severely limited choices in naming his Cabinet.
To paraphrase, the entire issue is now being kicked to the Integrity Commission. It’s a compromise that belies the party’s state of deep division.It is rational to think that a party under electoral pressure, facing arguably the most highly contested elections since 1994, would ensure that its list of candidates would be attractive to voters.
This group of elders, along with others, appear to have succeeded in convincing some people in the NEC that this list could cost the party votes. They may also have been able to show that they were not going to stop with their campaign, and that they were prepared to continue all the way to the polls themselves.
For some people the choice may well be fairly stark – if they don’t give some ground on the list, the ANC is in danger of suffering a significant loss of support. This is eerily familiar.
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