An interview with the head of Ukraine’s defence intelligence

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An interview with the head of Ukraine’s defence intelligence
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  • 📰 TheEconomist
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“Warehouses in the West are not completely empty. No matter what anyone says,” says Kyrylo Budanov

, is in no mood to debate his country’s ongoing counter-offensive. “Facts, not discussion” are what motivates Lieutenant-General Kyrylo Budanov. Theagainst a dug-in and well-prepared enemy is simply a reflection of reality. He does not understand those who predicted a quick collapse of the Russian lines. “Is a pencil strong or weak? It depends how you look at it.” The counter-offensive is ongoing. Ukraine still has time. There is more than a month before the muddy season sets in.

Amid reports that Russia is poised to step up its ongoing mobilisation drive, Lt-Gen Budanov says that headcount is the only obvious advantage that Russia still retains over Ukraine. “Human resources in Russia are, relatively speaking, unlimited. The quality is low, but the quantity is sufficient.” As far as other components of the war effort are concerned, Russian resources are being exhausted, and a reckoning is coming. Russia’s economy will hold out only until 2025, he says.

Following decades of underinvestment, corruption and sabotage, Ukraine is slowly ramping up its own domestic arms production. One focus isand long-range missiles, weapons that can strike deep behind front lines. The world was last week given a glimpse of Ukraine’s new capabilities with a series of strikes by missiles and drones on ships, a submarine, dry docks and air defences in Crimea. Lt-Gen Budanov’s HUR is playing a leading role in such attacks.

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