Alberta now forecasting $13-billion surplus in dramatic turn of fiscal fortunes

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Alberta now forecasting $13-billion surplus in dramatic turn of fiscal fortunes
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UCP to use surplus to re-index personal income taxes, inject $3-Billion into long-neglected Heritage Savings Trust Fund

The bonanza that will define Alberta’s finances this year starts to take shape this week with a fiscal update that will forecast the province’s surplus at more than $13-billion, instead of the $515-million predicted at the beginning of this year.

“It really shows how fluid the natural resource situation is – which has always been a struggle that Alberta has had when it comes to our budget conditions.” Mr. Nixon said Alberta’s overall debt will be knocked down to below $80-billion. That will help reduce debt-servicing costs that total billions of dollars annually.

However, other “affordability programs” will continue for the time being. Alberta’s gasoline tax holiday will stay as long as resource prices remain high, he said. And the electricity rebate program is showing significant promise in reducing Alberta’s inflation rate, he said. He expects natural gas rebates during the colder months will do the same.

But that idea faded away in times of financial stress. In 1987, the transfer of natural resource royalty revenues to the fund were halted. The value of the fund has eroded – as oil and gas royalties rolled in – and its returns often went into general revenues.

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