Alaska wildfire researchers grapple with changing climate's effects on predictability

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Alaska wildfire researchers grapple with changing climate's effects on predictability
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In March, UAF professor Uma Bhatt and her team will try to predict how bad the upcoming fire season will be in Alaska. She says climate change is making those predictions much harder. Take a listen to her recent interview on Alaska News Nightly:

December 15, 2022It might seem weird to talk about wildfires in December, but it’s worth mentioning that, despite theon Alaska now, it doesn’t mean much for next summer’s fire season.

Take last spring, for example. A winter’s worth of snow melted off ahead of schedule in Southwest Alaska, leading to an earlier-than-usual start to wildfire season, in a part of the state that’s not so fire-prone to begin with.Well, that’s the work of Uma Bhatt, a professor of atmospheric sciences at the Geophysical Institute at the University of Alaska Fairbanks. In March, Bhatt and her team will try to predict how bad the upcoming fire season will be.

But for now, Bhatt says, they’re trying to understand why they were so surprised by last season’s early start.: Things have been changing in the southwest of Alaska. So as the season has evolved, and we’ve gathered information from different people, it makes a bit more sense what happened. But I remember being shocked in April when the Kwethluk fire started, and we were sitting in all that snow in Interior Alaska.

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