They would be a costly mistake
, seasoned Africa hands will tell you. Lamu is the loveliest island on the Swahili coast. Donkeys ply alleyways between ancient buildings clad in coral. Wooden dhows lie at anchor in its fishing ports. Private cars are banned.coal-fired power station, Kenya’s first coal plant, 20km away on the mainland caused dismay when they were unveiled in 2013. Islanders worried that pollution would damage architecture, despoil the marine environment and deter tourists.
Crooked officials like the big contracts, but there are powerful arguments for Africa to shun coal. One is global. Africa may not be to blame for climate change, but it has agreed to help mitigate it. In order to limit global warming to 1.5ºC above pre-industrial levels, analysts reckon that rich countries should stop operating coal plants by 2030, with the rest of the world following by 2050. A splurge on coal will make it harder for African countries to uphold their end of the bargain.
Assuming that electricity demand will grow by 15% a year, Kenya wants to boost its peak capacity to 22by 2030. That would be a costly mistake, says Hindpal Jabbal, the former chairman of Kenya’s Energy Regulatory Commission. Supply of 2.7. Overcapacity is a growing problem in Africa. “In the next four years Ethiopia, Kenya, Tanzania, Uganda and Rwanda could find themselves in the severe financial predicament of having too much electricity,” warns Power Africa, an American government initiative.
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