A speedy reversal of China COVID-19 restrictions could cause 1 million winter deaths: report

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A speedy reversal of China COVID-19 restrictions could cause 1 million winter deaths: report
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Chinese authorities appeared to bend to the will of the people on Wednesday by easing some of the harshest COVID-19 restrictions, but a new study showed the high price the country will pay if it tries to reopen too fast.

Asian macroeconomic advisory firm, Wigram Capital Advisors, is warning of a “winter wave” of COVID infections that could swamp the healthcare system, according to a report in the Financial Times, which reviewed the firm’s models.

In addition, the Lunar New Year holiday in January could prove a super spreader event for China, Wigram warned. The easing comes after recent protests across major cities and in some industrial areas, such as Zhengzhou, the home of one of Apple’s AAPL, -1.38% biggest iPhone manufacturer. An International Monetary Fund official said Tuesday that the country’s economic outlook has “darkened noticeably,” due in part to lockdowns.

Both numbers were much weaker than analysts expected, as the government’s zero-COVID policies have weighed on the economy. For analysts and markets, a new realization may be forming around the global growth engine that investors have been so eager to see reopen.

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