5 things that will make or break South Africa in the next few years

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5 things that will make or break South Africa in the next few years
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Credit rating agency Moody’s has forecast that South Africa’s economy will grow by about 1.5% over 2022-23, constrained by a rigid labour market, weakening competitiveness and decaying infrastructure.

The electricity sector poses the greatest risks to economic growth prospects, with generation capacity already insufficient to cover the economy’s needs, the group said in a research note on Wednesday .

“The current administration, which came into power in 2018, has introduced some measures to address structural growth constraints, but the latter remains a challenge. Socioeconomic pressures and institutional weaknesses also complicate the government’s efforts to introduce reforms. As a result, growth has continued to underperform other emerging market economies,” it said.

Moody’s noted that the longer-term growth outlook will depend on the extent to which the government is able to advance its sectoral reforms, especially those aimed at rehabilitating electricity capacity. The group identified five key areas of concern and what the government needs to do to address these issues.Allow land restitution and redistribution, including through expropriation without compensation, but spare the economy by focusing on unexploited lands or unrightfully seized lands.Positive, because it supports social cohesion and growth. But until fully implemented in a way that ensures respect for the economic objectives, this is a source of uncertainty.

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