2019 ELECTIONS: Final Forecast – Counter-factual findings: ANC 53%, DA 24%, EFF 14%

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2019 ELECTIONS: Final Forecast – Counter-factual findings: ANC 53%, DA 24%, EFF 14%
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2019 EECTIONS: Final Forecast – Counter-factual findings: ANC 53%, DA 24%, EFF 14% By Ferial Haffajee ferialhaffajee

The Institute for Race Relations , whose poll is run by Victory Research which is owned by former DA dynamo Ryan Coetzee and which polls globally, predicts the EFF will put 10 percentage points on its 2014 result, ending at 14% in the national election.

The IRR poll suggests the ANC will get only 45% of votes in Wednesday’s election in Gauteng – this is against the ANC’s own poll of 3,200 respondents which has found that it will win a majority of between 53% and 56% in the country’s economic heartland. The DA gets 26% in Gauteng in the poll released on Monday, suggesting that the official opposition party is unlikely to meet its key goal of the campaign – to be the biggest party in the province and to be able to form a government.

In the Western Cape, other polls suggest the DA is fighting to achieve a majority in the provincial election, but the IRR says it will romp to a comfortable victory.

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